Probability over time
Chart warming up
Will Andrey Santos join Manchester United this summer?35—
Will Guglielmo Vicario join Juventus this summer?35+20
Will Ederson join Manchester United before the summer window closes?3152
Will Rúben Dias complete his move to Real Madrid?3153
Does Bradley Barcola join Liverpool this summer?3067
Does Julian Alvarez join Barcelona this summer?2962
Will Chalobah leave Chelsea this summer?2861
Does Summerville complete a move to Manchester United?2857
Will Marcus Rashford leave Manchester United this summer?2858
Will Malo Gusto join Manchester City this summer?2667
Does Michael Olise leave Bayern Munich this summer?2661
Does Randal Kolo Muani join Juventus this summer?2661
Trossard departs Arsenal this summer?268
Will Lucas Bergvall leave Tottenham this summer?2563TOT15
Does Adam Wharton join Liverpool this summer?2562
Will Emi Martinez join Juventus this summer?2566
Will Raphinha leave Barcelona this summer?2561
Will Chelsea sign Lacroix before the summer window closes?2562
Will Christos Tzolis join Arsenal before the summer window closes?2560
Does Bruno Guimaraes join Arsenal before the summer window closes?2460
Will Marc Ter Stegen leave Barcelona this summer?2465
Does Leao join Tottenham before the summer deadline?21—TOT23
Will Camavinga join Manchester City before the summer window closes?19—
Will Vlahović leave Juventus this summer?1955
Will Erling Haaland join Real Madrid this summer?1774
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich this summer?9—
Does Harry Kane join Manchester United this summer?9—
Will Enzo Fernandez leave Chelsea this summer?971
Does William Saliba join Barcelona this summer?5—Does Alvarez join PSG this summer?470
Vinicius Junior signs new Real Madrid deal before next season?
Momentum -74%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich this summer?
Momentum +3%
Will Rúben Dias complete his move to Real Madrid?
Momentum -52%
Will Ederson join Manchester United before the summer window closes?
Momentum -51%
Will Michael Olise join Real Madrid this summer?
New tier-1 report · BBC Sport
Will Zion Suzuki join Juventus this summer?
New tier-3 report · DeadlineDayLive
Will Alfie Devine leave Tottenham this summer?
New tier-3 report · Celtic Shorts
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi join Arsenal before the summer window closes?
Evidence cooling
Will Michael Olise join Real Madrid this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Khephren Thuram leave Juventus this summer?
New tier-3 report · DeadlineDayLive
Will Emi Martinez join Juventus this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Marcus Rashford join Arsenal this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Gleison Bremer join Bayern Munich before the summer window closes?
Evidence cooling
Does Cody Gakpo join Tottenham this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Chelsea sign Lacroix before the summer window closes?
Evidence cooling
Will Rúben Dias complete his move to Real Madrid?
Evidence cooling
Does Sandro Tonali join Arsenal this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will William Gomes join Manchester United this summer?
Momentum -84%
Will Luka Modric return to Real Madrid this summer?
Momentum -70%
Will Christos Tzolis join Arsenal before the summer window closes?
Momentum -60%
Does Bastoni join Real Madrid this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Giovanni Baroni join Chelsea this summer?
Momentum -70%
Does Karim Adeyemi join Liverpool this summer?
Momentum -70%
Does Felix Nmecha join Manchester United this summer?
Evidence cooling
Salinas to Barcelona: done deal or Atlético swoop this summer?
Evidence cooling
Does Michael Olise leave Bayern Munich this summer?
Evidence cooling
Will Mateus Fernandes join Real Madrid this summer?
Momentum -70%
Will Camavinga leave Real Madrid this summer?
Momentum -70%
Will Real Madrid sack Mourinho before the 2026-27 season starts?
Evidence cooling
Will Álvaro Carreras leave Real Madrid this summer?
Momentum -70%
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